UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown predictions, fight card, odds, start time

Gabriel Bonfim and Randy Brown took very totally different paths to their first UFC Combat Evening essential occasion. Bonfim is a comparatively new addition to the UFC roster; in the meantime, Brown celebrates a decade with the promotion in January. They collide on Saturday evening on the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

Bonfim (18-1) is defending his rating, however arguably has extra to show than his opponent. Bonfim grew to become a high 15 welterweight off a controversial choice win over longtime contender Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson. Two years in the past, practically to the day, he was knocked out by Nicolas Dalby. A detailed choice win over Brown, an unranked fighter approaching 10 years with the promotion, will not do him a lot good. Bonfim wants a standout efficiency.

“If I let Brown management the space and preserve the combat standing, he has a bonus, that is his recreation. However not with me,” Bonfim instructed CBS Sports activities via a Portuguese interpreter. ” I am very snug exchanging punches. I do know he is afraid and weary of my floor recreation.”

Brown (20-6) is decided to profit from his first essential occasion. He is a promising contender, however each time he builds steam, his momentum will get reduce brief by guys like Belal Muhammad, Jack Della Maddalena and Vicente Luque. However all that have has given him a stage head. Brown is coming off a KO win over Dalby, the one individual to beat Bonfim, however he is not placing a lot inventory in it. Brown is aware of precisely what Bonfim did unsuitable, however he cannot assure he’ll make these errors once more. 

“I do know precisely what he misplaced that combat and what occurred. I am unable to assume he is in that very same place. He was pushed, overwhelmed, acquired drained, and was stopped…” Brown instructed CBS Sports activities. “I am unable to financial institution on him making those self same errors. For all I do know, he is in the very best form of his life, and when he exhibits up he’ll be able to do 10 rounds.” 

There is not quite a bit to jot down dwelling about on the undercard. Ricky Simon vs. Raoni Barcelos is stable matchmaking. Neither fighter is at present ranked, however they’re veteran fighters who’ve blended it up with the very best. Simon notably holds a controversial win over reigning UFC bantamweight champion Merab Dvalishvili and has fought former WEC champ Urijah Faber. Barcelos blended it up with title challenger Umar Nurmagomedov in recent times.

Rising flyweights are set for the co-main occasion when Joseph Morales takes on Matt Schnell. Morales is recent off successful The Final Fighter 33 in August with a submission of Alibi Idiris in August. He had a earlier run with UFC in 2017 and 2018 earlier than three years of inactivity. He posted a 1-2 report in that point, together with a TKO loss to former champion Deiveson Figueiredo. Schnell, in the meantime, has been a fixture since 2016 the place he is posted a 7-7, 1 NC report. He ended a three-fight dropping skid in April with a choice win over Jimmy Flick.

Under is the remainder of the combat card for Saturday, with the most recent odds earlier than we get to a prediction and decide on the principle occasion.

UFC Combat Evening card, odds

Odds through DraftKings Sportsbook

UFC Combat Evening viewing data

Date: Nov. 8 | Begin time: 7 p.m. ET (essential card)
Location: UFC Apex — Las Vegas
TV channel: ESPN+

Prediction

Gabriel Bonfim vs. Randy Brown: Do not let Bonfim’s rating idiot you; he has one thing to show. Many consider “Wonderboy” beat Bonfim. Dalby knocked him out. They had been Bonfim’s two most skilled opponents. Brown is one other such veteran, having confronted world-class competitors for over a decade. He is totally able to exploiting no matter holes Bonfim offers him, particularly ought to he wilt over 5 rounds. Ability-wise, I lean in direction of Bonfim. He has improbable submissions, considered wrestling, and accountable hanging protection. Thompson outstruck Bonfim in totality, however their important strike outputs had been virtually an identical. 

Final 12 months, Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos took down Brown 4 occasions. The 12 months earlier than that, Della Maddalena submitted Brown — considered one of solely two submission wins within the champ’s 20-fight professional profession. There are circumstances we must always acknowledge in these two fights: Brown nonetheless beat Dos Santos, and Della Maddalena locked within the rear-naked choke off a knockdown. The combat advantages Brown the longer it goes. Finally, Bonfim shines extra the place Brown struggles. The inverse is not fairly as true. I am going to take Bonfim, hesitantly, by submission. Bonfim through SUB2