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24x7Report > Blog > Sports > UFC Fight Night predictions: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott fight card, odds, picks
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UFC Fight Night predictions: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott fight card, odds, picks

Last updated: 2026/04/18 at 7:50 PM
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UFC Fight Night card, oddsUFC Fight Night viewing informationPrediction

It’s been nearly a decade since Canada has had a UFC champion. Mike Malott has work to do, but he takes an important step toward holding the same title as Georges St-Pierre by beating Gilbert Burns at UFC Fight Night on Saturday live from Winnipeg.

Burns’ career might be in jeopardy. The one-time welterweight title challenger considered retiring after a quick knockout loss to Michael Morales. It was his fourth consecutive loss, something most fighters don’t recover from. Upon further inspection, Burns reconsidered. The concussion and the Joanna Jedrzejczyk-like hematoma Morales gave him made him reassess if his heart was the issue. Furthermore, his losing streak is to fighters currently ranked in the top six, including two recent champions and one top contender.

Sign up for Paramount+ and watch UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott for no additional fee — every UFC numbered event and UFC Fight Night is included with your subscription! Plans start as low as $8.99/month or $89.99/year!

Rebuilding his confidence is at the epicenter of Burns’ game plan. He took the second-longest lay-off of his career to gameplan. He’s met with sports psychologists, conferred with coaches, and refined his training in the necessary ways for a man pushing 40. With his confidence restored, Burns plans to spoil Malott’s big homecoming. However, losing to an unranked fighter would raise serious questions about why “Durinho” keeps fighting.

“Half of me thought that I quit in that fight with Morales. I got to rewatch it. I had the concussion and realized that I didn’t quit,” Burns told CBS Sports. “…I know I can do it, but we need a plan. The Morales fight was crucial to coming back. I had to think about it. After that moment, and a little time off, I can still do it. I need to plan better and relax.”

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Check out the complete interview with Gilbert Burns ahead of Saturday’s UFC Fight Night main event below.

Malott is becoming an important fixture up north. He makes his sixth consecutive appearance in Canada and gets his first main event slot. UFC clearly sees him as a potential player, and beating Burns is his ticket to the welterweight elite. 

Before breaking out on “Contender Series,” Malott was the striking coach for Team Alpha Male. He cornered former UFC champion Cody Garbrandt and Hall of Famer Urijah Faber, studying the blueprint that led him to Saturday’s main event.

“That was such a fun time in my life,” Malott said. “Looking back, it’s so wild that I got to do that before I got to the UFC. I did it backwards from every other coach who moves into coaching after their careers are done. I did it the opposite way. Those are some of the best memories of my life. Going on fight trips with these guys who I love as friends and look up to as martial artists.

“Fast-forward seven or eight years, and now I’m in the main event. It’s a pretty cool journey. This will be a fun life to look back on.”

In the co-main event, Canadian Charles Jourdain looks to continue his strong run at bantamweight when he takes on veteran Kyler Philips. Jourdain, 30, spent most of his career at 145 pounds. But after back-to-back losses in 2024, he decided to cut down to 135 and give it a go. The results have bared out well with a pair of submission wins over Victory Henry and Davey Grant. Now, he takes on one of the most durable fighters in the division in Philips, who has never been stopped in his 16-fight pro career.

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Let’s take a look at the rest of the fight card with the latest odds from DraftKings before getting to a prediction and expert pick on the main event below.

UFC Fight Night card, odds

Mike Malott -285

Gilbert Burns +230

Welterweight

Charles Jourdain -135

Kyler Phillips +114

Bantamweight

Mandel Nallo -170

Jai Herbert +142

Lightweight

Jasmine Jasudavicius -310 Karine Silva +250 Women’s flyweight
Gauge Young -155 Thiago Moises +130 Lightweight

UFC Fight Night viewing information

Date: April 18 | Start time: 5 p.m. ET (prelims) | 8 p.m. PT (main card)
Location: Canada Life Centre — Winnipeg
Stream: Paramount+ (subscribe now for as low as $8.99 per month)

Prediction

Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott: Malott deserves to be a sizeable favorite. Burns is free-falling, and his age doesn’t help. Malott’s KO power isn’t quite at Morales or Jack Della Maddalena’s level, but they’ve likely left Burns’ chin in shambles. Malott has also improved his gas tank since imploding against Neil Magny. That was a bad loss, one where Malott gave away a significant lead and was finished by a journeyman. That’s why, despite logic, I’m siding with the underdog. Malott seems to be a steep decline in challenge relative to the people Burns lost to. If Burns can survive 10 minutes with Malott — who hasn’t reliably finished UFC opponents — I think he can wear down Malott in the latter’s first main event. I’m voting with my heart here, so proceed with caution. Pick: Burns via TKO5

Who wins Burns vs. Malott, and how exactly does the fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks and analysis from the incomparable expert who is up over $21,000 on his UFC picks since May 19, 2018, and find out.

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TAGGED: Burns, Card, fight, Gilbert, Malott, Mike, Night, odds, Picks, Predictions, UFC

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