Luka Doncic returns to Dallas when the Los Angeles Lakers take on the Dallas Mavericks at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, one of the top options to use the latest DraftKings promo code, which gives new users $300 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins. Along with this NBA matchup, Saturday night features the debut of UFC on Paramount+ with UFC 324. Between the SportsLine Projection Model and SportsLine’s team of experts, you can find picks from both of these must-see Saturday events, as well as an expert pick on TCU vs. Baylor in college basketball.
The model projects the Lakers to cover as 3.5-point favorites, while SportsLine MMA expert Kyle Marley is backing Paddy Pimblett to defeat Justin Gaethje via submission in the main event of UFC 324 fight card. Claim the latest DraftKings promo code, where new users get $300 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins:
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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2025-26 NBA season on a sizzling 35-15 roll on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to last season. Anyone following its NBA betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Saturday best bets at DraftKings Sportsbook
- TCU (+4.5) vs. Baylor (-105)
- Lakers (-3.5) vs. Mavericks (-112)
- Paddy Pimblett to defeat Justin Gaethje via submission (+125)
Combining the three picks into a Saturday parlay at DraftKings would result in a payout of +789 (risk $100 to win $789). Bet it at DraftKings here: (Odds subject to change)
TCU (+4.5) vs. Baylor (-105)
“TCU has lost three straight heartbreakers on the road, but the Horned Frogs could end that skid here,” SportsLine expert Larry Hartstein said. “Baylor is not as tough a place to play as it has been in recent years. The Bears, who fell 69-63 in Fort Worth, have dropped three straight home games, all by double digits. While TCU might not be on the level of those opponents, the Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS when getting points this season.” Back TCU at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $300 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins:
Lakers (-3.5) vs. Mavericks (-112)
Luka Doncic has been his usual dominant self in three matchups against Dallas with the Lakers, all three resulting in Los Angeles victories. Doncic averaged 33 points, 9.3 rebounds and 9.7 assists in those three contests. The Lakers are coming off a 112-104 loss to the Clippers on Thursday, but they had a two-game winning streak before that loss and enter Saturday at 26-17 overall, including 14-9 on the road. The Mavericks are 19-26. Dallas won’t have its featured return in the Doncic trade active, with Anthony Davis (finger) out. The model projects the Lakers to cover in 57% of simulations. Back the Lakers at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $300 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins:
Paddy Pimblett to defeat Justin Gaethje via submission (+125)
“This is a tough line to lay on Paddy when the grappling is his only real edge, but I do think he is on the way to a title shot, and Gaethje is on his way out,” SportsLine MMA expert Kyle Marley said. “Gaethje is going to be the better striker, and he is one of the most exciting strikers of all time. I just think that Paddy will be attempting multiple takedowns in every round, and he could dominate the ground game if he gets it there.” Bet on UFC 324 at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $300 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins:
Want more NBA, college basketball and UFC picks for Saturday?
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