For greater than a month, the smoke alerts out of Rafael Nadal’s camp have saved the tennis world on its toes, sparking predictions of all the pieces from a triumphant spring on the pink clay of Paris to him by no means enjoying one other aggressive match following yet one more hip damage in Australia in January.
The one factor that appeared clear was that the 22-time Grand Slam champion was prioritizing the clay court docket season in Europe this spring. Nadal stated as a lot in January when he returned following a year-long layoff due to hip surgical procedure.
Certain, he was completely satisfied to be again and competing in Australia, the place he gained the 12 months’s first Grand Slam as lately as 2022, however he was singularly targeted on being in prime type — or, at the very least, as shut as he can get to it at this level — in three months when the pink clay tournaments start in earnest.
That was a part of why he skipped the Australian Open as soon as he suffered a small muscle tear close to his hip three matches into his newest comeback. Logic instructed Nadal would wait till tennis returned to the natural surfaces which might be far much less taxing on the physique and the place an ageing, injury-prone participant like Nadal, who’s 37 and performs probably the most bodily model of tennis, would have the most effective likelihood of staying wholesome.
Few had been stunned when he introduced this month on social media that he was pulling out of a hard-court event in Doha. It was the second sentence of that submit that caught some off-guard.
“I’ll deal with preserve working to be prepared for the exhibition in Las Vegas and the superb Indian Wells event,” Nadal wrote on Valentine’s Day.
That might be an MGM Resorts exhibition match towards the 20-year-old Spanish sensation Carlos Alcaraz this weekend in Las Vegas, which will probably be streamed on Netflix, after which the BNP Paribas Open in close by Indian Wells, California, which begins subsequent week.
Now that struck some as odd. Nonetheless, there was loads of time for him to tug out of these occasions and spend one other few weeks in Spain making ready for the clay.
After which, final week, Novak Djokovic posted an image of him and Nadal on the identical flight as Nadal made his method to america. “Vamos”, Djokovic wrote. Sport on — at the very least, in idea.
Nice firm on the best way to USA 🇺🇸 😎💪🎾 @RafaelNadal #idemooo #vamos @atptour #TennisParadise pic.twitter.com/UDB13mp4Ux
— Novak Djokovic (@DjokerNole) February 23, 2024
The query, although, is why?
“If he’s match, he needs to play,” his longtime spokesman, Benito Perez-Barbadillo, stated on Monday. “He’s a tennis participant and needs to play on the greatest tournaments. And he loves Indian Wells.”
As Patrick McEnroe, the commentator and former participant calling the match towards Alcaraz, identified, Nadal usually thrives on the sluggish onerous courts of Indian Wells, the place he has gained 3 times and made the finals on two different events.
Accidents in exhibitions are extraordinarily uncommon, however will an exhibition and a hard-court event in March, even one Nadal loves as a lot as Indian Wells, enhance his possibilities of being match sufficient to compete for the title on the French Open in Could and June, the place he has gained 14 instances and there’s a statue of him swatting his bull-whip forehand exterior the principle stadium? Lately, Nadal has shut himself down after Indian Wells for roughly three weeks to start honing his timing and conditioning for 2 months of clay court docket tennis, the place the timing and elegance of play are markedly completely different from onerous courts.
Welcome again, champ 👋
📷: @RafaelNadal | #TennisParadise pic.twitter.com/oVdoxv5JH0
— BNP Paribas Open (@BNPPARIBASOPEN) February 26, 2024
The elephant within the room right here is cash.
It’s all the time uncomfortable to rely different individuals’s cash, to counsel what needs to be sufficient. That’s particularly the case with skilled athletes, whose careers are typically over by 40 and who’ve grown accustomed to a sure life-style.
That stated, Nadal has gained greater than $134million in prize cash throughout his 20-plus-year profession. He has collected tens of thousands and thousands, possibly extra, in sponsorship and look charges. Phrases of his take care of MGM and MGM’s take care of Netflix will not be public, however he’s more likely to accumulate at the very least $1million for the Alcaraz match given how a lot he and different gamers of his caliber have earned for enjoying comparable occasions
Nadal gained’t obtain an look payment to play at Indian Wells, since it’s a necessary event for wholesome gamers. He has different incentives. Larry Ellison, the billionaire founding father of Oracle who owns the event, has turn out to be a pal and hosts Nadal at his personal resort.
There, Nadal can pursue his different ardour — golf. He has been identified to play 18 and even 36 holes a day throughout his time within the desert and he’s already been out on the hyperlinks in California.
It’s an excellent life. The query is whether or not he’s risking the clay season, the place he seemingly has his greatest likelihood to win a twenty third Grand Slam singles title. Nadal would seemingly attempt to dismiss that pondering or something that may counsel he’s some sort of clay court docket specialist.
“I feel it’s high quality,” stated Paul Annacone, the longtime coach (Roger Federer, Taylor Fritz) and commentator. “He’s in California training already, getting acclimated. So the one problem is that if he’s not one hundred pc. Then don’t go. However I don’t suppose he’d be right here in California if he wasn’t near one hundred pc and prepared for Indian Wells.”
Days after pulling out of Doha, Nadal posted a video of himself training sluggish service returns with the caption, “Work in progress.” There have been extra movies since he arrived in Indian Wells, however no footage of something approaching intense.
All of this has solely added to the bigger thriller surrounding when Nadal would possibly name it quits for good. Final 12 months, not lengthy after his hip surgical procedure, he instructed that 2024 could be his final season and function a sort of farewell tour as he visited the tournaments and cities that had meant probably the most to him throughout his profession.
Then he confirmed flashes of his outdated self throughout his three matches in Australia and acquired a style of the competitors he craves. He has not dedicated to any hard-and-fast timetable since, insisting he takes it day-to-day.
The Olympic Video games event will happen at Roland Garros this summer time, the positioning of the French Open. There had been hypothesis that may function his walk-off. Then he signed a deal to function an envoy with Saudi Arabia’s tennis federation and to play in an exhibition in Riyadh in October with Djokovic, Daniil Medvedev, Alcaraz, Jannik Sinner and Holger Rune. That setting would appear like an odd alternative for his last matches.
The Davis Cup finals will happen in Spain one month later. Maybe then? That’s, assuming he could make it that far with out one other severe damage.
For now, and for higher or for worse, he has an enormous payday in Las Vegas and a tough court docket event (and loads of golf) within the California desert to deal with.
(Prime picture: William West/AFP through Getty Photos)