In case you have not seen Manchester Metropolis’s 3-0 win over Manchester United at Outdated Trafford on Sunday then to not fear. It’s a sport you should have seen dozens of instances earlier than. Pep Guardiola’s apex predators come throughout an opponent so removed from their degree that they can’t assist however indulge themselves for a time, enjoying with their prey earlier than hanging the decisive blows. For the staff supposedly sure to generate a billion {dollars} in income a couple of years from now, simply learn Fulham, Purple Star Belgrade or Younger Boys.
On condition that it’s maybe not as onerous as one would possibly assume to purchase into Erik ten Hag’s publish match evaluation of his facet’s efficiency. The plan, he insisted, had gone as he wished, at the least within the first half. This was a plan the place United had created little quite a lot of half counters, moments to get Outdated Trafford up on their ft in hope slightly than expectation, and given up prime possibilities past the contentious penalty that Rasmus Hojlund conceded. On one other day that may not have been given. On one other day Andre Onana may not have saved nicely off headers from Erling Haaland and Phil Foden or the previous may need turned within the rebound when the latter was denied.
That is what occurs whenever you run into the very best of the very best. Different narratives snap by your thoughts: we’d have gotten away with it if it wasn’t for that pesky VAR. Within the chilly gentle of day, nonetheless, it’s a must to conclude that when you could have given up precisely 4 anticipated objectives (xG) and three precise ones, when you could have been outshot 21 to 7, when John Stones accomplished extra passes in your penalty space than your entire United staff did in Metropolis’s — virtually each different branching timeline ends in defeat too. Ten Hag’s greatest laid plans may not have accounted for a lot anyway.
Extra regarding than this one-off match towards a superior opponent is how Ten Hag views the sweep of his facet. Right here two explicit publish match speaking factors land with thudding concern, none extra so than his insistence that the general trajectory of his United facet is upwards. Requested whether or not he was pleased with the route his staff was heading, the Dutchman stated,”You ask that after as we speak’s sport towards Metropolis, however the three video games earlier than we gained and the spirit is superb, the preventing spirit is superb. So, yeah, I feel we’re on the way in which up.
“The beginning [of the season] was tough, however we’re on the way in which up.”
Now, naturally, Ten Hag might hardly come out and say that his facet are in a demise spiral and it is all his fault but when managers try to promote a narrative grounded in phantasm then they’re solely going to make issues worse for them. To make use of their three wins previous to the derby to buttress claims for progress doesn’t counsel he is a coach that calls for such excessive requirements from his gamers whereas having comparable expectations of himself. For over an hour they trailed to Brentford earlier than Scott McTominay pulled a rabbit out of the hat. Factors had been almost dropped to Sheffield United and Copenhagen. If that constitutes progress then the bar is ready too low.
Equally perplexing, Ten Hag’s insistence to Dutch TV that “the soccer that we performed at Ajax, we’ll by no means play right here.” As soon as extra he selected to emphasise his imaginative and prescient for United to be a staff that performs on the counterattack having stated over the summer season that he wished his gamers to turn out to be “the very best transition staff on the planet.” An admirable imaginative and prescient for United, even when they did rent him for the possession and urgent work he did at Ajax (in the event that they wished elite transition, would they not have picked a coach within the mould of Antonio Conte?).
Think about, nonetheless, that Ten Hag’s imaginative and prescient is dropped at life in wonderful technicolor. United get Marcus Rashford again into final season’s groove and Bruno Fernandes brings greater than the petulance which too usually characterises his largest matches. That staff will instantly want a plan B, one thing they’ll fall again on when opponents swiftly conclude that they don’t seem to be going to threat committing males ahead and getting undone on the counter. Already, groups like Sheffield United and Copenhagen try this; they’re to Manchester United what Manchester United are to Manchester Metropolis. What number of instances within the present supervisor’s reign has this staff floor down an opponent camped in its penalty space?
That the batterings of the lesser groups are so rare goes at the least some method to clarify why Ten Hag’s Premier League outcomes look a lot much less rosy whenever you begin tinkering underneath the hood. United may need the joint-third most factors within the high flight since his appointment (their 90 is eighteen fewer than Arsenal and 23 lower than Manchester Metropolis) however over 48 video games they’ve a purpose distinction of +10, half that of Tottenham, a sixth of Arsenal’s. The ninth greatest assault when it comes to objectives scored and the tenth greatest when it comes to objectives conceded — sixth and eleventh when it comes to non-penalty xG for and towards — by some means contriving to ship the third most factors? It might by no means final.
Particular person expertise and a penchant for late dramatics can solely get you up to now however the place, as Gary Neville requested at the same time as he staunchly defended Ten Hag, are the “repeated patterns” that you just see everytime you watch Metropolis, Arsenal or Liverpool? All these groups have transition as a feather of their bow, not the underpinning of their footballing id.
Now can be the stage the place Neville would be aware how difficult an atmosphere Ten Hag has been thrust into. He can be entitled to take action. For a lot of the supervisor’s tenure, Manchester United has been in the marketplace. Amenities that had been greatest at school when the Glazers purchased the membership have atrophied. What little construction there’s above the pinnacle coach has been persistently discovered wanting when United have needed to make profound selections on and off the pitch. The waste available in the market of years passed by has hampered the membership’s capability to spherical out his squad. United’s bench, from which the likes of Anthony Martial and Sergio Reguilon entered on Sunday, would not simply look sub par in comparison with Metropolis. Would you slightly carry on these gamers or Diego Carlos, Youri Tielemans and Leon Bailey, as Unai Emery did for Aston Villa earlier within the day?
It may be a near-impossible job to revive United to the place they had been within the Sir Alex Ferguson glory days. That doesn’t imply that there are usually not minimal requirements that Ten Hag shouldn’t be hitting. The void round him has enabled the Dutchman to recruit from the participant pool he is aware of. Over $400 million has been spent on the likes of Mason Mount, Antony, Casemiro and Andre Onana. Even the very best investments would possibly simply be certified successes reminiscent of Lisandro Martinez. If Ten Hag had been to go you watched his successor can be eager to filter out many of those latest signings. That’s simpler stated than finished at Outdated Trafford.
For now, there was no indication from sources near United that the membership are contemplating parting methods with Ten Hag, who banked vital credit score by successful final season’s EFL Cup and qualifying for the Champions League. Sir Jim Ratcliffe could also be desiring to overhaul the soccer division however when it grew to become obvious he had gained the race to safe a stake the messaging from his camp was that the supervisor was not a type of who would possibly quickly be out of labor.
Nevertheless, it’s actually time for these backing Ten Hag to ask questions. How in a different way would they assess the final season and alter if Rashford had not caught lightning in a bottle for a couple of months? Would the ceiling be raised by higher luck with accidents? Does the supervisor’s long-term imaginative and prescient for United’s play fashion gel with their very own? Is there a greater man for the job on the market? And, maybe most of all, is it not a trigger for concern when you end up asking so many questions over the suitability of your supervisor when he is greater than a 12 months in?