September WTI crude oil (CLU25) at the moment is down -0.02 (-0.03%), and September RBOB gasoline (RBU25) is down -0.0003 (-0.01%).
Crude oil costs are little modified at the moment. Greenback energy at the moment is bearish for power costs. Worth strikes in crude oil are restricted because the market awaits at the moment’s assembly between Presidents Trump and Zelenskiy in Washington.
Any decision to the Russian-Ukrainian struggle could possibly be bearish for crude costs, as an finish to the struggle might imply permitting Russian crude to commerce freely and will result in an finish to sanctions on Russian power exports. Crude costs are additionally beneath strain after President Trump signaled he was in no hurry to ramp up secondary sanctions on Russian power exports if there was no fast finish to the struggle.
Concern about increased OPEC manufacturing is weighing on crude costs after OPEC+ on August 2 endorsed a further 547,000 bpd enhance in its crude manufacturing for September 1. OPEC+ is boosting output to reverse the 2-year-long manufacturing minimize, step by step restoring a complete of two.2 million bpd of manufacturing by September 2026. OPEC+ has 1.66 million bpd of provides which can be at present as a consequence of stay offline till late 2026. OPEC July crude manufacturing fell by -20,000 bpd to twenty-eight.31 million bpd.
A decline in crude oil held worldwide on tankers is bullish for oil costs. Vortexa reported at the moment that crude oil saved on tankers which have been stationary for not less than seven days fell by -12% w/w to 82.49 million bbl within the week ended August 15.
Final Wednesday’s weekly EIA report confirmed that US crude oil inventories rose +3.04 million bbls to a 2-month excessive within the week ended August 8. The weekly EIA report confirmed that (1) US crude oil inventories as of August 8 have been -5.1% under the seasonal 5-year common, (2) gasoline inventories have been +0.25% above the seasonal 5-year common, and (3) distillate inventories have been -15.45% under the 5-year seasonal common. US crude oil manufacturing within the week ending August 8 rose by +0.3% y/y to 13.327 million bpd, modestly under the document excessive of 13.631 million bpd posted within the week of 12/6/2024.
Baker Hughes reported final Friday that the variety of energetic US oil rigs within the week ending August 15 was unchanged at 411 rigs, simply barely above the three.75-year low of 410 rigs from August 1. Over the previous 2.5 years, the variety of US oil rigs has fallen sharply from the 5.25-year excessive of 627 rigs reported in December 2022.
On the date of publication, Wealthy Asplund didn’t have (both straight or not directly) positions in any of the securities talked about on this article. All info and knowledge on this article is solely for informational functions. This text was initially printed on Barchart.com
