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24x7Report > Blog > Sports > 2025 NFL team win totals, odds, picks, best bets: Broncos breakout? Back the Pack after Micah Parsons deal
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2025 NFL team win totals, odds, picks, best bets: Broncos breakout? Back the Pack after Micah Parsons deal

Last updated: 2025/08/30 at 9:45 AM
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Prepared or not, the NFL is again! The common season is lower than per week away when the Philadelphia Eagles open up Lincoln Monetary Discipline, unveil their latest Super Bowl championship banner, and tackle the Dallas Cowboys to get Week 1 off the bottom. From there, it will be a mad sprint to Santa Clara for Super Bowl LX, and there will likely be quite a bit that goes down between from time to time. And we will give our greatest guesses as to how some groups could fare in 2025.

Contents
Dallas CowboysJacksonville JaguarsKansas Metropolis ChiefsPhiladelphia Eagles

As we do yearly, we have corralled our CBS Sports activities staffers and tasked them with offering their predictions on varied matters surrounding the upcoming season. Right here, we’ll be diving into their finest Over/Beneath win whole bets. 

Earlier than we get going, this is a have a look at the panel making their picks: Pete Prisco, Jared Dubin, Josh Edwards, Jordan Dajani, John Breech, Garrett Podell, Zach Pereles, Cody Benjamin, and yours actually. 

Whereas we’ll checklist each workforce and their present Over/Beneath odds for the season, not each membership will likely be zeroed in by our panel for a finest guess. In these instances, we’ll present our leans on their win whole. Let’s get to it! 

NFL odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

  • Over 8.5 (-120) | Beneath 8.5 (+100)

Lean: Over 8.5. There is not any denying the expertise the Cardinals have on protection, and that is anticipated to be the workforce’s energy in 2025. First-rounder Walter Nolan will start the 12 months on PUP, which takes some wind out of their sails, however they nonetheless have fellow rookie Will Johnson within the secondary and free agent signee Josh Sweat screaming off the sting. This guess actually is dependent upon the way you mission Kyler Murray and the offense. I like Marvin Harrison Jr. to take a step ahead in Yr 2, and the likes of Trey McBride and James Conner ought to make this a serviceable unit that will get to not less than 9 wins. 

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  • Over 7.5 (-135) | Beneath 7.5 (+115)

Lean: Beneath 7.5. Looks like they could be a 12 months away from true competition. Sure, they’ve the fourth-easiest schedule within the NFL, however attending to eight wins takes numerous blind religion in Michael Penix Jr., who’s getting into his first season because the full-time starter. Whereas Atlanta did double-dip at move rusher within the first spherical of the NFL Draft this spring, it isn’t a assure that each come out of the gate firing on all cylinders. This looks like a scrappy 7-10 workforce in 2025 that’ll take critical momentum into 2026.  

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  • Over 11.5 (-120) | Beneath 11.5 (+100)

Lean: Over 11.5. This workforce has gone over this quantity in every of the final two seasons, and there is an argument to be made that this 2025 model is the most effective we have seen. Lamar Jackson is within the prime of his profession, has (albeit ageing) assortment of ability place gamers, and the protection solely bought higher with rookie additions like security Malakai Starks and Mike Inexperienced. 

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  • Over 11.5 (-160) | Beneath 11.5 (+135)

Prisco: Over 13.5 (+230). That appears loopy, however they play in a comfortable division and the schedule is favorable. They play most of their robust video games at house and their longest street journey is to Houston. Oh, and they’re loaded with the MVP at quarterback. 

Sullivan: Over 11.5 (-16). Buffalo has itself a cupcake schedule in 2025 that ranks because the fifth-easiest within the NFL. Even their robust matchups just like the Ravens (Week 1), Chiefs (Week 9), and Eagles (Week 17) are all at house. We all know that Josh Allen will maintain the offense buzzing at an elite stage, and if the protection can play higher situationally (third-worst on third down in 2024) with their new additions, this may very well be the No. 1 seed within the AFC. 

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  • Over 6.5 (-130) | Beneath 6.5 (+110)

Prisco: Beneath 7.5 (-150). I am not shopping for into the Bryce Younger hype simply but. Plus, they’re the third workforce of their division in my eyes. They are going to have a troublesome time attending to eight victories. 

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  • Over 8.5 (+135) | Beneath (-160)

Prisco: Beneath 7.5 (+110). This workforce is a 12 months away. It is loopy to assume that Ben Johnson will step in and repair all the problems in a single season. Plus, the division is brutal. 

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  • Over 10.5 (+155) | Beneath 10.5 (-180)

Lean: Beneath 10.5. They paid Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. Nice. That they had a kumbaya second with Trey Hendrickson. Great. Are they higher? Defensively, I’ve my doubts. The beginning protection let up factors on each dive they had been on the sector this preseason, which ought to ship alarm bells off in Cincy. They’re going to put up factors in a prolific style, however they nonetheless may be capable of cease anybody on protection.  

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  • Over 4.5 (-140) | Beneath 4.5 (+120)

Lean: Beneath 4.5. Cleveland is saddled with the second-toughest schedule in your entire NFL. Joe Flacco could also be good for a win or two, however the ceiling is not excessive for the Browns in 2025, and so they might discover themselves with the No. 1 general decide when it is all mentioned and performed. 

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Dallas Cowboys

  • Over 7.5 (+115) | Beneath 7.5 (-135)
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Podell: Cowboys: Beneath 7.5 (-135) The Cowboys’ defensive expected points added (EPA) per play when Micah Parsons was on the sector was the most effective within the NFL since 2021. When off the sector in that very same span, Dallas has the league’s worst EPA per play, per CBS Sports activities Analysis. That information suggests Jerry Jones made the fallacious transfer in buying and selling him to the Inexperienced Bay Packers. Quarterback Dak Prescott might very properly put up online game numbers throwing to All-Professional broad receiver CeeDee Lamb and the explosive George Pickens. Nevertheless, their protection will probably battle to get after quarterbacks with out Parsons. This protection may very well be tough in 2025.  

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  • Over 9.5 (+100) | Beneath 9.5 (-120)

Sullivan: Over 9.5 (+100). Can Bo Nix and Sean Payton do it once more? Final 12 months, this was a 10-7 squad that surprisingly splashed into the playoff image in Yr 1 of Nix. Heading into his sophomore season, Denver has improved the roster round Nix with the likes of Evan Engram and a revamped backfield with rookie RJ Harvey. That is to not point out in addition they boast arguably the most effective protection within the NFL. They’ve the simplest energy of schedule within the AFC West, and I am banking on a repeat 10-win season from Nix and Co. 

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  • Over 10.5 (+120) | Beneath 10.5 (-140)

Lean: Beneath 10.5. Detroit might very properly be the No. 1 seed within the NFC once more and declare the division as a result of they’re oozing with expertise. Nevertheless, the lack of each coordinators, Ben Johnson and Aaron Glenn, has to depend for one thing, proper? The Lions additionally face the third-toughest schedule within the NFL this season, and play in a gauntlet of a division within the NFC North. 10-7 might nonetheless declare them the division crown, nevertheless it’ll be a rock struggle for Dan Campbell’s membership all 12 months. 

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  • Over 10.5 (+105) | Beneath 10.5 (-125)

Podell: Packers Over 10.5. The Pack is again. The NFL’s youngest workforce lastly added a first-round broad receiver within the speedy Matthew Golden, and all studies out of Inexperienced Bay make it look like he is able to be the workforce’s WR1 early on. Matt LaFleur’s squad was each a high 10 offense (27.1 factors per sport, eighth-best within the NFL) and a high 10 protection (19.9 factors per sport allowed, sixth-best within the NFL) final season, and now they’ve continuity in defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley’s scheme getting into a second season along with his playbook. Oh, and Hafley’s high 10 protection simply added All-Professional edge rusher Micah Parsons in a commerce with the Dallas Cowboys on Thursday. Parsons’ profession comparability by his first 4 seasons performed is actually Corridor of Famer Reggie White: they’re the one two gamers with not less than 12 sacks in every of their first 4 seasons performed. Let the great occasions roll in Inexperienced Bay.  

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  • Over 9.5 (+105) | Beneath 9.5 (-125)

Edwards: Over 9.5. Houston had 10 wins throughout a season many thought-about a disappointment. They’ve suffered a number of unlucky accidents, however I’ve religion C.J. Stroud can do sufficient together with an improved protection. The one concern is that I additionally just like the Jaguars and will justify three Overs inside this division, however it’s not going to work out for somebody.

Pereles: Over 9.5. Nearly the whole lot went fallacious for Houston’s offense final 12 months: Stefon Diggs and Tank Dell each suffered season-ending accidents, Nico Collins missed time as properly, the offensive line was putrid … and the Texans nonetheless received 10 video games. Count on a significantly better offensive scheme, a C.J. Stroud rebound and one of many league’s defenses to hold them to not less than 10 wins; I would think about OVER 10.5 (+175) as properly.

Benjamin: Over 8.5 (-160). Houston is all the time comparatively neglected within the nationwide dialog, and the Texans are much more of an afterthought following C.J. Stroud’s disappointing sophomore dip. The O-line continues to be a query, however a rebound feels inevitable. DeMeco Ryans’ protection stays scary. And the division is all the time ripe for the taking. 

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  • Over 7.5 (+105) | Beneath 7.5 (-125)

Dubin: Beneath 7.5. I can’t in good conscience inform you {that a} Daniel Jones-quarterbacked workforce ought to win 8 or extra video games. It appears extra probably that the Colts find yourself shuffling backwards and forwards between Jones and Anthony Richardson, dropping loads of video games alongside the best way.

Edwards: Over 7.5. Indianapolis reached eight wins final season regardless of oscillating backwards and forwards between Anthony Richardson and Joe Flacco. Daniel Jones isn’t a sport changer, however he brings a extra steady fashion of play that ought to enable the workforce to compete in a winnable AFC South throughout a make-or-break 12 months for management. 

Breech: Over 7.5. I am not saying I belief Daniel Jones, however I do belief Shane Steichen to get probably the most out of his beginning quarterback. This workforce received 9 video games in 2023 with Gardner Minshew beginning for a lot of the season. That they had an unsightly QB state of affairs in 2024 and Steichen nonetheless managed to guide the workforce to eight wins. In 2025, the Colts have one of many best energy of schedules within the NFL. They’ve an underrated protection and an offense that might shock some individuals so long as Jones does not flip the ball over 5 occasions per sport. 

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Pereles: Beneath 5.5 (+240). I don’t belief Daniel Jones, and I don’t belief a training workers that may select to belief Daniel Jones.

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Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Over 7.5 (-125) | Beneath 7.5 (+105)

Lean: Beneath 7.5. One other workforce that feels a 12 months away. Liam Coen ought to enhance an offense that’s loaded with expertise, however can Trevor Lawrence keep wholesome? Their schedule might actually assist them get to eight wins, however this can be a workforce that ought to have extra consideration paid to them in 2026 after they set up their basis. 

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Kansas Metropolis Chiefs

  • Over 11.5 (+110) | Beneath 11.5 (-130)

Dubin: Over 11.5. Kansas Metropolis has received 12-plus video games in six of Patrick Mahomes’ seven seasons because the starter. I proceed to checklist the Over for the Chiefs as my favourite guess on this train, mainly yearly. It is like they’re giving cash away. 

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  • Over 7.5 (+150) | Beneath 7.5 (-175)

Lean: Beneath 7.5. Are they higher? Sure. Are they so significantly better that they’re going to double their win whole from final 12 months? Does not really feel prefer it. Las Vegas will likely be a more durable out than in years previous with Geno Smith and Pete Carroll on the helm, however they play in a troublesome division with the Chiefs, Broncos, and Chargers are higher on paper. 

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  • Over 9.5 (+105) | Beneath 9.5 (-125)

Pereles: Beneath 8.5 (+135). The Chargers completed with the NFL’s top-scoring protection final 12 months, regardless of rating eleventh in yards allowed. Pink zone protection is notoriously fickle from 12 months to 12 months, so a regression there would not shock me. Add in Rashawn Slater’s season-ending damage, and I believe the Chargers find yourself on the backside of a aggressive AFC West after arriving a 12 months early in 2024.

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  • Over 10.5 (+135) | Beneath 10.5 (-160)

Dajani: Over 9.5 (-125). In the event you’re afraid of Matthew Stafford’s again holding up, I perceive why you’ll wish to keep away from this guess. However Stafford getting damage is the one method this does not hit. Davante Adams, reverse of Puka Nacua, goes to be enjoyable to look at, after which the Rams have an extremely gifted protection that was just about historic final 12 months. Bear in mind, this workforce got here only one or two performs away from internet hosting the NFC Championship sport. 

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  • Over 7.5 (-110) | Beneath 7.5 (-110)

Lean: Beneath 7.5 (-110). This can be a workforce that feels prefer it’s at an inflection level. In the event that they battle to fulfill expectations in 2025, there may very well be wholesale modifications. The secondary is banged up, there are questions alongside the offensive line, and there is all the time a priority for Tua Tagovailoa’s well being. The underside might fall out from beneath Miami in 2025, particularly as division rivals just like the Patriots and Jets are on the upswing, together with Buffalo. 

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  • Over 9.5 (+115) | Beneath 9.5 (-135)

Lean: Beneath 9.5. J.J. McCarthy is likely one of the largest wild playing cards of your entire 2025 season. The Vikings should really feel assured of their former first-round decide as they let Sam Darnold go away in free company and handed over the keys to the franchise to McCarthy this offseason. Does he get them to the identical heights as final 12 months, nevertheless? To me, this looks like a one-step again to take two big steps ahead state of affairs, that means this may very well be a considerably muted 12 months for Minnesota as they proceed to develop McCarthy. 

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  • Over 8.5 (+110) | Beneath 8.5 (-130)

Sullivan: Over 8.5 (+110). Yeah, yeah, name it a homer decide if you need, nevertheless it’s onerous to not like what New England did this offseason. Mike Vrabel put in as their new head coach ought to elevate the ground from the 4-13 campaigns they endured the final two years. Additionally they improved the roster on either side of the ball, headlined by Milton Williams on protection and Stefon Diggs on offense. Extra importantly, this decide rests on Drake Maye taking a Yr 2 leap, which I anticipate he’ll with a greater O-line in entrance of him. Oh, and the Patriots have the second-easiest schedule within the NFL in 2025. 

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  • Over 4.5 (-130) | Beneath 4.5 (+110)

Dajani: Beneath 5.5 (-165). I believe New Orleans is the worst workforce within the NFL getting into this season, and we’ll see each Spencer Rattler and Tyler Shough begin video games. It seems the remainder of the NFC South is ascending, whereas New Orleans is descending.

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  • Over 5.5 (-105) | Beneath 5.5 (-115)

Lean: Beneath 5.5. No workforce has a tougher schedule in 2025 than the Giants. It is a who’s who of playoff contenders week after week. Proper out of the gate, they’ve back-to-back street contests with the Commanders and Cowboys earlier than being welcomed house to MetLife Stadium by Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. Woof. There’s little reprieve after that, as they’ve a stretch the place they face the Eagles twice, the Broncos (in Denver), and the 49ers over the course of a month. Wins will likely be few and much between for New York.  

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  • Over 5.5 (-145) | Beneath 5.5 (+125)
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Lean: Over 5.5. Given the circumstances, I appreciated the cube roll of signing Justin Fields this offseason. First-year head coach Aaron Glenn is aware of firsthand about Fields’ capability, having coached towards him when he was the quarterback of the Bears and the defensive coordinator of the Lions. That has to depend for one thing. If Fields develops even a contact as a passer, the Jets have sufficient expertise on the ability positions to enhance a fierce protection. 

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Philadelphia Eagles

  • Over 11.5 (+115) | Beneath 11.5 (-135)

Lean: Beneath 11.5. Even when Philly does go Beneath right here, 11 wins might very properly win the NFC East. However have a look at this schedule. It is the fourth-toughest within the NFL and options journeys to Kansas Metropolis, Tampa Bay, Minnesota, Inexperienced Bay, and Buffalo.

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  • Over 8.5 (+100) | Beneath 8.5 (-120)

Breech: Over 8.5. In 2022, Mike Tomlin received 9 video games with a mixture of Kenny Pickett and Mitchell Trubisky taking part in quarterback for him. In 2023, he received 10 video games with Pickett, Trubisky and Mason Rudolph all beginning a number of video games through the season. In 2024, he led the workforce to 10 wins with Russell Wilson and Justin Fields each beginning not less than six video games. Even at 41, Aaron Rodgers is healthier than all of these quarterbacks. I will take the over right here. 

Podell: Over 9.5 (+175). The Pittsburgh Steelers return a lot of a defensive core that produced a high 10 scoring protection (20.4 factors per sport allowed, eighth-fewest within the NFL) with seven-time Professional Bowler Jalen Ramsey buying and selling locations with five-time Professional Bowler Minkah Fitzpatrick. Offensively, the Steelers misplaced younger deep risk George Pickens, however they changed him with two-time Professional Bowl wideout DK Metcalf and now have Aaron Rodgers at quarterback. Rodgers did not have an important general season with the New York Jets in 2024. Nonetheless, he completed decently, throwing 18 touchdowns to solely 4 interceptions within the final 10 video games, the seventh-best touchdown-to-interception ratio in that span. The additional eliminated Rodgers is from the torn Achilles, the higher he might play. 

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  • Over 10.5 (-110) | Beneath 10.5 (-110)

Lean: Over 10.5. No workforce has a better schedule within the NFL this season than the Niners in 2025. Not solely is the trail simpler, however they need to additionally see some constructive regression within the damage division after being ravaged final season. Sure, they’ve seen an exodus of key gamers, however Brock Purdy, Trent Williams, George Kittle, and Christian McCaffrey nonetheless reside within the Bay Space and may produce an elite offense. In the meantime, do not sleep on what the return of defensive coordinator Robert Saleh might do to that unit. 

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  • Over 8.5 (+115) | Beneath 8.5 (-135)

Edwards: Over 8.5. Seattle, in principle, has improved its protection. The offensive line must be improved sufficient to offset the lack of Geno Smith and I imagine Mike Macdonald to be one of many higher coaches within the league.

Benjamin: Over 7.5 (-145). Look, Sam Darnold’s Vikings finale was totally deflating. He additionally launched 30 scores in 2024. His Seattle setup is probably not practically nearly as good, however is it that far off, particularly whenever you consider Mike Macdonald’s protection? In a wide-open NFC West, it isn’t onerous to examine them proper again within the wild-card combine.

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  • Over 9.5 (+100) | Beneath 9.5 (-120)

Lean: Over 9.5. There is not any denying that the Bucs have probably the most gifted roster within the NFC South and must be a shoo-in to win that division once more. Additionally they boast a top-10 best schedule within the league in 2025, so, so long as the offense stays wholesome, they need to be capable of get to 10 wins. 

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  • Over 5.5 (-140) | Beneath 5.5 (+120)

Lean: Over 5.5. Has there been a extra slept-on No. 1 general quarterback than Cam Ward? This preseason, the Miami product did flash his potential, and must be worlds higher than what Tennessee was getting on the quarterback place a 12 months in the past. With an improved offensive line and the eighth-easiest schedule within the NFL, I believe the Titans shock people and get to 10 wins whereas Ward wins Offensive Rookie of the Yr (+300). 

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  • Over 9.5 (-105) | Beneath 9.5 (-115)

Lean: Over 9.5. This one is a little bit iffy. Washington had six wins final season in video games the place they had been both tied or trailing within the remaining 10 seconds of regulation. There may very well be some regression there. That mentioned, in addition they improved the offense with Laremy Tunsil at left sort out and deepened the receiver room with Deebo Samuel. In the event you assume Jayden Daniels avoids a sophomore hunch, take the over. In the event you assume these last-second wins are fewer are additional between, you could discover their +102 odds to overlook the playoffs interesting. 

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